Back Creek at Caldwell Rd near Harrisburg, NC

The last 7 days and the forecast

NWS forecast issued Sun, Dec 31, 7 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

• 15 ftMajor Flood Stage. Extremely rare and catastrophic flooding is developing along Back Creek with disastrous impacts to property. Extraordinary flooding exceeding 6 ft deep is overwhelming low-lying areas. Basements and crawl spaces may be completely submerged. First-floor building elevations may be experiencing ruinous flooding greater than 1 ft deep. Travel may be severely restricted with roadway inundation exceeding 3-4 ft, stranding several homes and businesses.
• 12 ftModerate Flood Stage. Unusual, damaging flooding is developing adjacent to Back Creek with considerable impacts to property. Significant flooding reaching 4-6 ft deep is ongoing for low-lying areas. Secondary roads, outbuildings, crawl spaces, and/or basements may be experiencing flooding reaching 2-4 feet deep. Flooding less than 1 ft deep may begin for first-floor building elevations. Some homes and businesses may be stranded. Significant impacts to travel are likely.
• 10.5 ftMinor flooding continues. Back Creek is likely flooding Stallings Rd between Middleton Cir and Quail Hollow Dr, forcing road closure.
• 10.01 ft...continued from the 10.0 statement. Adjacent secondary roads and outbuildings may be experiencing flooding up to 1-2 ft deep, including near Orchard Park Cir, Hickory Ridge Rd, Blackjack Oak Ct, Stallings Rd, and Middleton Cir. Flooding less than 1 ft deep may begin impacting basements and primary roads, including Stallings Rd between Middleton Cir and Quail Hollow Dr.
• 10 ftMinor Flood Stage. Common, deeper flooding of low-lying areas adjacent to Back Creek is developing with lesser impacts to vulnerable property. More significant floodwaters are beginning to impact low-lying areas, including the Back Creek Greenway, with inundation approximately 2-4 ft deep. Impacts continued in the 10.01 statement...
• 8.5 ftAction/Advisory Stage flooding continues. Extensive flooding of adjacent low-lying areas is developing, impacting the Back Creek Greenway and low-lying areas adjacent to Stallings Rd between Middleton Cir and Quail Hollow Dr.
• 8 ftAction/Advisory Stage. Common, nuisance flooding of low-lying areas adjacent to Back Creek is beginning. Floodwaters are beginning to impact farmland, woodlands, nurseries, parks, athletic fields, golf courses, and greenways with up to 2 feet of inundation. Adjacent secondary roads may experience floodwater inundation of up to 1 foot.

Highest crests on record

1. 11.77 ft — January 25, 2010
2. 10.51 ft — June 29, 2013
3. 9.91 ft — August 5, 2011
4. 9.77 ft — December 30, 2015
5. 9.7 ft — June 6, 2013

Recent crests: 8 ft (October 8, 2016) · 9.77 ft (December 30, 2015) · 8.65 ft (December 23, 2015) · 9.18 ft (December 22, 2015) · 9.3 ft (April 20, 2015)

Up and down the river, and nearby

• DownstreamRocky River NC near ROCKY RIVER/ ABV IRISH BUFFALO CK, NC
• Mallard Creek below Stony Creek nr Harrisburg, NC
• Reedy Creek below I-485 nr Pine Ridge, NC
• Reedy Creek at SR 2803, NC
• McKee Creek near Wilgrove, NC
• Briar Creek at Shamrock Drive, NC
• Clarke Creek NC near HARRISBURG, NC
• Little Sugar Creek below E 36th St, in North Davidson (NoDa), NC