Cape Fear River at Lillington, NC

River level and flood forecast · Harnett County

Normal2.3 ftas of Mon 4:28 PM

The river is 11.7 ft below flood stage (14 ft).

Forecast to rise to 3.0 ft Thu 2 PM, below the 14 ft flood stage.

Flow: 513 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

0510152025TueThuSatMonWedFriAction 13 ftFlood 14 ftModerate 19 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 11:33 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage27 ft
Moderate flood stage19 ft
Flood stage14 ft
Action stage13 ft
Record crest (September 19, 1945)33.19 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 34 ftWater reaches the road surface of the northbound 421 bridge.
  • 30 ftWater reaches the base of the northbound Highway 421 bridge.
  • 27 ftMajor flooding begins. Flooding reaches Mermaid Point Restaurant on the south bank.
  • 19 ftModerate flooding begins. The storm drains on the north bank are inundated and water reaches the water treatment plant. Homes on Riverside Hills Drive are flooded.
  • 17 ftWater threatens homes upstream on Riverside Hills Drive.
  • 14 ftMinor flooding begins. The boat launch ramp and wooden deck at Mermaid Point Restaurant are flooded.
  • 13 ftAction stage. The Cape Fear River reaches bankfull.

Highest crests on record

  1. 33.19 ft — September 19, 1945
  2. 27.55 ft — October 2, 1929
  3. 21.27 ft — September 18, 2018
  4. 19.41 ft — October 9, 2016
  5. 18.97 ft — September 7, 1996

Recent crests: 15.85 ft (August 9, 2024) · 13.61 ft (February 9, 2020) · 15.56 ft (November 16, 2018) · 17.98 ft (November 14, 2018) · 10.01 ft (October 12, 2018)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (LLLN7); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.