Long Creek at PAW CREEK, NC

River level and flood forecast · Mecklenburg County

Normal1.5 ftas of Mon 4:55 PM

The river is 11.0 ft below flood stage (12.5 ft).

Flow: 14 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

-505101520TueWedThuFriSatSunMonAction 11 ftFlood 12.5 ftModerate 16 ftMajor 18 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Sun, Dec 31, 7 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage18 ft
Moderate flood stage16 ft
Flood stage12.5 ft
Action stage11 ft
Record crest (July 23, 1997)13.45 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 13.5 ftAT THIS STAGE THE OAKDALE RD BRIDGE WILL BE FLOODED.
  • 12.5 ftAT THIS STAGE APPROACHS TO OAKDALE ROAD AND PARTS OF I 485 WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD.
  • 11.45 ftHEAVY RAIN 2.5 TO 4 INCHES IN HEADWATERS MADE THE RIVER RISE TO 11.45 FT. ROADS IN THE HEADWATER AREAS WILL LIKELY BE FLOODED. THERE WAS A 5 HR DELAY FROM THE TIME THE HEAVY RAIN FELL IN THE EXTREME HEADWATERS AREA TO THE CREST.
  • 10 ftAT THIS LEVEL...LONG CREEK IS STILL BELOW BANKFULL...BUT IT IS LIKELY THAT SOME STREETS IN THE VICINITY BEGIN TO FLOOD IN LOW LYING AREAS DUE TO DRAINAGE ISSUES.
  • 4 ft4-5 INCH RAIN IN 3 HRS RESULTED IN A RISE FROM 1 FT TO THE FS 12.5 FT.
  • 2.6 ft2.6 IN 6 HOURS CAUSED A 9 FT RISE.
  • 2.25 ftBASINWIDE 2.25 INCH RAINFALL RESULTING IN RISE FROM 1.5 FT TO 8 FT.
  • 2.06 ft2.06 IN 1 HOUR WILL TAKE CREEK TO 9.0 FT
  • 1.85 ft1.85 IN ONE HOUR DID NOT CAUSE FLOODING IN THIS AREA.
  • 1.4 ft1.4 IN 12 HR CAUSED THE CREEK TO RISE TO 7.5 FT SSHP DID A GOOD JOB THRESHHOLD RUNOFF VALUE SHOULD BE 1.3 OR LOWER.

Highest crests on record

  1. 13.45 ft — July 23, 1997
  2. 13.11 ft — August 27, 2008
  3. 12.75 ft — August 5, 2011
  4. 11.97 ft — May 22, 2003
  5. 11.57 ft — August 19, 2010

Recent crests: 11.1 ft (April 20, 2015) · 12.75 ft (August 5, 2011) · 11.57 ft (August 19, 2010) · 10.42 ft (November 11, 2009) · 13.11 ft (August 27, 2008)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (LONN7); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.