Morgan Creek near Chapel Hill, NC

River level and flood forecast · Orange County

Normal4.3 ftas of Mon 2:45 PM

The river is 6.7 ft below flood stage (11 ft).

Flow: 4 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

2.557.51012.515TueWedThuFriSatSunMonAction 10 ftFlood 11 ftModerate 13 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Sun, Dec 31, 7 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Moderate flood stage13 ft
Flood stage11 ft
Action stage10 ft
Record crest (August 8, 2024)12.75 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 13 ftEstimated Moderate Flood Stage
  • 11 ftEstimated Minor Flood Stage

Highest crests on record

  1. 12.75 ft — August 8, 2024
  2. 12.09 ft — September 27, 2024
  3. 11.37 ft — May 15, 2025

Recent crests: 11.37 ft (May 15, 2025) · 12.09 ft (September 27, 2024) · 12.75 ft (August 8, 2024)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (MGCN7); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.