Rocky Arroyo 7 miles S of Lakewood, NM

The last 7 days and the forecast

NWS forecast issued Sun, Dec 31, 5 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

• 33 ftrunoff from Rocky Arroyo covers the U.S. Highway 285 with 6-8 feet of water. This is 23 feet above the record stage.
• 25 ftthe river reaches minor flood stage, inundating several thousand acres of rangeland. Approaches to the U.S. Highway 285 bridge and the bridge itself may flood at stages over 25 feet.
• 23 ftconsiderable rangeland floods. No significant damage is expected. Flood waters impact Lake Avalon and Carlsbad just downstream.
• 21 ftthe arroyo reaches bankfull. A few low lying areas flood, but no significant damage is expected.

Highest crests on record

1. 19.2 ft — October 7, 1954
2. 16.14 ft — September 22, 2014
3. 15.35 ft — August 23, 1966
4. 14.9 ft — October 20, 1969
5. 14.33 ft — September 12, 2013

Recent crests: 16.14 ft (September 22, 2014) · 14.33 ft (September 12, 2013) · 12.1 ft (September 20, 1988) · 13.6 ft (June 24, 1986) · 12.68 ft (August 10, 1984)

Up and down the river, and nearby

• DownstreamPecos River 9 miles NW of Carlsbad, NM
• Pecos River below Brantley Reservoir, NM
• South Seven Rivers 1 mile SE of Seven Rivers, NM
• Pecos River below Avalon Reservoir, NM
• Pecos River 3 miles NNW of Carlsbad North, NM
• Pecos River at Avalon Reservoir Dam, NM
• Dark Canyon at Carlsbad, NM
• Pecos River 2 miles E of Carlsbad below Dark Canyon, NM