Black Creek at Churchville, NY
River level and flood forecast · Monroe County
Normal1.6 ftas of Mon 3 PM
The river is 4.4 ft below flood stage (6 ft).
Forecast to hold near 1.6 ft through Thu, Oct 15, 8 AM.
Flow: 25 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 11:14 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 8 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 7 ft |
| Flood stage | 6 ft |
| Action stage | 5 ft |
| Record crest (March 31, 1960) | 9.44 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 8 ftMajor flood, extensive lowland flooding along entire reach of creek in Genesee and Monroe counties. Serious residential flooding Churchville, Chili, to the vicinity of the Rochester airport. Some backwater problems from the Genesee River east of Chili.
- 7 ftModerate flood, widespread agricultural flooding along entire length of creek. Some residential flooding begins Churchville to Chili area. Possible road closures.
- 6 ftFlood stage, more widespread agricultural land flooding, some backyard and basement flooding Churchville to Chili but minimal damages.
- 5 ftAction stage, some localized overflow into agricultural lands near confluence with Genesee River.
Highest crests on record
- 9.44 ft — March 31, 1960
- 9.19 ft — January 9, 1998
- 8.83 ft — March 28, 1950
- 8.52 ft — March 30, 1993
- 8.05 ft — February 25, 1985
Recent crests: 7.02 ft (April 2, 2026) · 6.2 ft (January 27, 2024) · 6.85 ft (February 24, 2022) · 7.44 ft (February 20, 2022) · 6.32 ft (November 7, 2017)
Up and down the river, and nearby
- Oatka Creek at Garbutt, NY
- Genesee River at South Rochester at Ballantyne Bridge, NY
- Erie Canal above Rochester, NY
- Northrup Creek at North Greece, NY
- Genesee River at Ford Street Rochester, NY
- Genesee River at Avon - NEW USGS gage on the old railroad bridge, NY
- Sandy Creek (WNY) at North Hamlin, NY
- Tonawanda Creek at Batavia, NY
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (CHRN6); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.