atmostormbeta

Neosho River near Commerce, OK

River level and flood forecast · Ottawa County

Normal4.7 ftas of Mon 2:30 PM

The river is 10.3 ft below flood stage (15 ft).

Forecast to hold near 4.7 ft through Sat, Oct 17, 7 AM.

Flow: 4,030 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

05101520TueThuSatMonWedFriAction 14 ftFlood 15 ftModerate 18 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 8:07 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage24 ft
Moderate flood stage18 ft
Flood stage15 ft
Action stage14 ft
Record crest (July 16, 1951)34.03 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 32 ftnear catastrophic flooding occurs along the Neosho River. Large portions of the City of Miami suffer damages from high water. Suburban homes and business south of Miami will be severely flooded. The record high stage is 34.03 feet on July 16, 1951. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
  • 30 ftdevastating flooding occurs. Large portions of the City of Miami suffer major damages. Suburban homes and businesses south of Miami experience severe flooding. The record high crest for the Neosho River is 34.03 feet on July 16, 1951. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
  • 28 ftvery widespread and damaging flooding occurs. Suburban homes and businesses in Miami could see water rise up to several feet above floor levels. This will be the second highest crest exceeding the stage reached on October 6, 1986, when the Neosho River crested at 26.23 feet. The record high is 34.03 feet on July 16, 1951. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
  • 26 ftwidespread and damaging flooding occurs. Some residential evacuation may be necessary. Suburban homes and businesses south of Miami could see water rise above floor levels. This will compare with the stage on October 6, 1986 when the Neosho River crested at 26.23 feet. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
  • 24 ftwidespread and severe flooding occurs. Highway 125 south of Miami will be closed. Suburban homes and businesses south of Miami may be flooded. This is a dangerous and life threatening situation.
  • 23 ftwidespread flooding occurs. Riverview Park and the Ottawa County Fairgrounds becomes inundated. State Highway 125 south of Miami will be closed.
  • 22 ftwidespread flooding occurs along the Neosho River. Riverview Park becomes inundated and access roads to the Ottawa County Fairgrounds will be closed.
  • 21 ftmoderate agricultural flooding occurs. Some roads within Riverview Park become flooded including State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds.
  • 20 ftmoderate agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be closed.
  • 19 ftlow lying areas around Miami become cut off from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
  • 18 ftmoderate agricultural flooding occurs with Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
  • 17 ftminor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview Park experiences minor flooding.
  • 16 ftminor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview Park experiences minor flooding.
  • 15 ftminor lowland flooding occurs. Low lying areas in Riverview Park experience minor flooding.
  • 14 ftlow lying areas along the river in Riverview Park are threatened by high water and faster flows are expected. Use extra caution or avoid recreational activities near the river. Interests near the river should continue to monitor later forecasts.

Highest crests on record

  1. 34.03 ft — July 16, 1951
  2. 29.25 ft — July 5, 2007
  3. 26.23 ft — October 6, 1986
  4. 25.66 ft — April 13, 1994
  5. 25.53 ft — May 24, 2019

Recent crests: 20.07 ft (June 29, 2026) · 18.99 ft (June 23, 2026) · 18.86 ft (June 16, 2026) · 19.8 ft (June 10, 2026) · 18.03 ft (April 20, 2026)

Up and down the river, and nearby

See it on the live map →Radar & warnings for Ottawa CountyNWS gauge pageUSGS gauge 07185000

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (COMO2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.