Conestoga River at Lancaster, PA
River level and flood forecast · Lancaster County
Normal5.2 ftas of Mon 4:15 PM
The river is 5.8 ft below flood stage (11 ft).
Forecast to fall to 4.0 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.
Flow: 1,150 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 2:51 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 15 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 13 ft |
| Flood stage | 11 ft |
| Action stage | 9 ft |
| Record crest (June 23, 1972) | 27.9 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 34.6 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 0.2% Annual Chance Flood level (500-year flood).
- 27.9 ftFlood of record from Hurricane Agnes in 1972.
- 27 ftFlood waters begin to reach the South Duke Street Bridge.
- 26.1 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 1% Annual Chance Flood level (100-year flood).
- 22.6 ftFlood waters begin to reach the New Holland Pike Bridge, and the Eden Road Bridge. Approximate level of the FEMA 2% Annual Chance Flood level (50-year flood).
- 20 ftFlood waters begin to reach the East King Street Bridge, the East Strawberry Street Bridge and the bridge at the water treatment facility.
- 17 ftFlood waters begin to reach the Hunsecker's Mill Covered Bridge.
- 15.6 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood level (10-year flood).
- 15 ftMany homes near the river are affected by high water.
- 14 ftThe footbridge near the confluence of Stauffer Run begins to flood.
- 13 ftSeveral homes are affected by high water.
- 11 ftGrofftown Road will flood.
Highest crests on record
- 27.9 ft — June 23, 1972
- 21.3 ft — September 8, 2011
- 18.49 ft — September 2, 2021
- 18.14 ft — January 25, 1978
- 17.8 ft — October 9, 2005
Recent crests: 12.47 ft (July 2, 2025) · 11.9 ft (January 10, 2024) · 13.25 ft (December 18, 2023) · 18.49 ft (September 2, 2021) · 13.86 ft (August 22, 2018)
Up and down the river, and nearby
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (LNCP1); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.