Conestoga River at Lancaster, PA

River level and flood forecast · Lancaster County

Normal5.2 ftas of Mon 4:15 PM

The river is 5.8 ft below flood stage (11 ft).

Forecast to fall to 4.0 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.

Flow: 1,150 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

02.557.51012.515TueThuSatMonWedAction 9 ftFlood 11 ftModerate 13 ftMajor 15 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 2:51 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage15 ft
Moderate flood stage13 ft
Flood stage11 ft
Action stage9 ft
Record crest (June 23, 1972)27.9 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 34.6 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 0.2% Annual Chance Flood level (500-year flood).
  • 27.9 ftFlood of record from Hurricane Agnes in 1972.
  • 27 ftFlood waters begin to reach the South Duke Street Bridge.
  • 26.1 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 1% Annual Chance Flood level (100-year flood).
  • 22.6 ftFlood waters begin to reach the New Holland Pike Bridge, and the Eden Road Bridge. Approximate level of the FEMA 2% Annual Chance Flood level (50-year flood).
  • 20 ftFlood waters begin to reach the East King Street Bridge, the East Strawberry Street Bridge and the bridge at the water treatment facility.
  • 17 ftFlood waters begin to reach the Hunsecker's Mill Covered Bridge.
  • 15.6 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood level (10-year flood).
  • 15 ftMany homes near the river are affected by high water.
  • 14 ftThe footbridge near the confluence of Stauffer Run begins to flood.
  • 13 ftSeveral homes are affected by high water.
  • 11 ftGrofftown Road will flood.

Highest crests on record

  1. 27.9 ft — June 23, 1972
  2. 21.3 ft — September 8, 2011
  3. 18.49 ft — September 2, 2021
  4. 18.14 ft — January 25, 1978
  5. 17.8 ft — October 9, 2005

Recent crests: 12.47 ft (July 2, 2025) · 11.9 ft (January 10, 2024) · 13.25 ft (December 18, 2023) · 18.49 ft (September 2, 2021) · 13.86 ft (August 22, 2018)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (LNCP1); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.