Pine Creek at Cedar Run, PA

River level and flood forecast · Lycoming County

Normal1.8 ftas of Mon 4:15 PM

The river is 10.2 ft below flood stage (12 ft).

Forecast to fall to 1.2 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.

Flow: 317 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

-5051015TueThuSatMonWedAction 7 ftFlood 12 ftModerate 13 ftMajor 15 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 2:51 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage15 ft
Moderate flood stage13 ft
Flood stage12 ft
Action stage7 ft
Record crest (June 23, 1972)16 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 19.5 ftFEMA 0.2% Annual Chance Flood Level (500-year flood).
  • 17 ftFlood waters begin to reach the Slate Run Road Bridge.
  • 16 ftFlood of record from Hurricane Agnes in 1972. Numerous homes in the Pine Creek valley are inundated by high water. Flood waters begin to reach the Beulah Land Road Bridge in Cedar Run.
  • 15 ftFEMA 1% Annual Chance Flood Level (100-year flood). Many homes and cabins located along Pine Creek are affected by high water. Flood waters begin to reach the Route 414 Bridge on the north side of Slate Run.
  • 14 ftFEMA 2% Annual Chance Flood Level (50-year flood).
  • 13 ftHigh water affects numerous homes and cabins from Cedar Run downstream.
  • 12 ftA few residences along the left bank of Pine Creek in the vicinity of cedar run are inundated. A number of homes and cabins in the vicinity of Jersey Mills are also affected.
  • 11 ftFEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood Level (10-year flood). Some low lying areas adjacent to Pine Creek are inundated by high water.
  • 9 ftHigh water is expected on Pine Creek. River interests are encouraged to monitor conditions in their vicinity. Some low lying areas near the creek are affected by high water.
  • 7 ftHigh water is occurring on Pine Creek. River interests are encouraged to monitor conditions. Some low lying areas adjacent to the creek may be affected by high water.

Highest crests on record

  1. 16 ft — June 23, 1972
  2. 14.39 ft — May 28, 1946
  3. 13.41 ft — September 26, 1975
  4. 11.94 ft — September 18, 2004
  5. 11.77 ft — February 14, 1984

Recent crests: 11.94 ft (September 18, 2004) · 11.28 ft (August 18, 1994) · 11.77 ft (February 14, 1984) · 13.41 ft (September 26, 1975) · 16 ft (June 23, 1972)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (CEDP1); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.