Swatara Creek near Hershey, PA

River level and flood forecast · Dauphin County

Normal4.6 ftas of Mon 2:45 PM

The river is 2.4 ft below flood stage (7 ft).

Forecast to fall to 2.3 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.

Flow: 3,740 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

02.557.51012.5TueThuSatMonWedAction 6 ftFlood 7 ftModerate 10 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 2:51 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage14 ft
Moderate flood stage10 ft
Flood stage7 ft
Action stage6 ft
Record crest (September 8, 2011)26.8 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 27 ftFEMA 0.2% Annual Chance Flood Level (500-year flood).
  • 26.8 ftFlood of record from the flooding in September, 2011. Maximum recordable gage height (stage sensor operational limit). Water levels above this stage will not be reported in real time.
  • 20 ftFEMA 1% Annual Chance Flood Level (100-year flood).
  • 18 ftFlood waters begin to reach the Route 39 Bridge (Hershey Road) northwest of Hershey. FEMA 2% Annual Chance Flood Level (50-year flood).
  • 16 ftNumerous homes adjacent to the creek are affected by high water.
  • 14 ftNumerous homes adjacent to the creek are affected by high water.
  • 12 ftHigh water affects several homes upstream of the Route 39 bridge. FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood Level (10-year flood).
  • 10 ftA few homes adjacent to the creek upstream of the Route 39 bridge flood.
  • 8 ftThe right, or north bank overflows. Several roads are affected.
  • 7 ftThe right, or north bank begins to overflow. Several roadways upstream of the gage are affected by high water.

Highest crests on record

  1. 26.8 ft — September 8, 2011
  2. 17.08 ft — July 26, 2018
  3. 16.12 ft — June 29, 2006
  4. 15.36 ft — September 27, 1975
  5. 14.43 ft — January 25, 1979

Recent crests: 7.36 ft (April 4, 2024) · 7.82 ft (January 11, 2024) · 7.98 ft (December 19, 2023) · 14.01 ft (September 3, 2021) · 8.94 ft (December 26, 2020)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (HERP1); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.