Black Cypress Bayou near Jefferson, TX

River level and flood forecast · Marion County

Normal3.6 ftas of Mon 2 PM

The river is 9.4 ft below flood stage (13 ft).

Forecast to hold near 3.6 ft through Sat, Oct 17, 7 AM.

Flow: 0 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

05101520TueThuSatMonWedFriAction 12.5 ftFlood 13 ftModerate 18 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 10:13 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage21 ft
Moderate flood stage18 ft
Flood stage13 ft
Action stage12.5 ft
Record crest (April 29, 1958)22.42 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 18 ftExpect moderate to severe lowland flooding with some secondary roadways near the bayou facing flooding.
  • 15 ftMinor lowland flooding.
  • 13 ftLowland flooding will affect mainly timber resources.

Highest crests on record

  1. 22.42 ft — April 29, 1958
  2. 21.2 ft — April 2, 1945
  3. 19.61 ft — March 12, 2016
  4. 19.35 ft — October 16, 2009
  5. 19.34 ft — December 28, 1987

Recent crests: 15.89 ft (May 23, 2021) · 16.61 ft (February 15, 2020) · 17.89 ft (May 11, 2019) · 16.63 ft (February 25, 2018) · 14.09 ft (April 16, 2017)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (JEFT2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.