Aquia Creek near Garrisonville, VA
River level and flood forecast · Stafford County
Normal1.2 ftas of Mon 3:30 PM
The river is 13.8 ft below flood stage (15 ft).
Flow: 35 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Sun, Dec 31, 7 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 20 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 17 ft |
| Flood stage | 15 ft |
| Action stage | 12 ft |
| Record crest (June 22, 1972) | 16.32 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 20 ftRoute 641 is flooded from near the bridge eastward to nearly the Hulvey Drive intersection. At least two structures off Hulvey Drive are flooded.
- 17 ftWater covers the bridge and part of the road on Route 641. At least one home is flooded.
- 15 ftWater nears a home off Hulvey Drive in Garrisonville.
- 12 ftWater approaches backyards on the right bank and unoccupied grassy areas on the left bank.
- 9 ftThe natural banks overflow near the gauge but nothing is impacted.
Highest crests on record
- 16.32 ft — June 22, 1972
- 12.08 ft — September 26, 1975
- 11.4 ft — May 6, 1989
- 8.76 ft — November 28, 1993
- 8.5 ft — July 25, 2018
Recent crests: 8.5 ft (July 25, 2018) · 8.76 ft (November 28, 1993) · 11.4 ft (May 6, 1989) · 12.08 ft (September 26, 1975) · 16.32 ft (June 22, 1972)
Up and down the river, and nearby
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (GACV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.