Rivanna River at Palmyra, VA
River level and flood forecast · Fluvanna County
Normal5.6 ftas of Mon 3:50 PM
The river is 11.4 ft below flood stage (17 ft).
Forecast to fall to 2.9 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.
Flow: 2,270 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 3 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 32 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 25 ft |
| Flood stage | 17 ft |
| Action stage | 15 ft |
| Record crest (August 20, 1969) | 39.85 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 44.5 ftRiver stage sensor operating limit
- 22 ftFarmland flooded downstream, including a section of Carysbrook Road.
- 18 ftRiver out of banks at Palmyra with flooding of town boat launch and upstream at Crofton Boat Ramp.
- 17 ftBankfull and flood stage. Overflow begins on right bank, affecting adjacent farmland and floodplain
Highest crests on record
- 39.85 ft — August 20, 1969
- 37.34 ft — June 22, 1972
- 36.5 ft — October 16, 1942
- 33.35 ft — April 26, 1937
- 31.54 ft — September 7, 1996
Recent crests: 22.06 ft (May 14, 2025) · 23.29 ft (October 1, 2024) · 19.76 ft (September 26, 2024) · 23.67 ft (January 10, 2024) · 20.94 ft (December 25, 2020)
Up and down the river, and nearby
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (PYAV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.