Tug Fork River at Welch, WV

River level and flood forecast · Mcdowell County

Normal3.7 ftas of Mon 3:45 PM

The river is 13.3 ft below flood stage (17 ft).

Flow: 153 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

0510152025TueWedThuFriSatSunMonAction 15 ftFlood 17 ftModerate 19 ftMajor 20 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Sun, Dec 31, 7 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage20 ft
Moderate flood stage19 ft
Flood stage17 ft
Action stage15 ft
Record crest (February 16, 2025)22.1 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 20 ftHemphill area is flooded. Other homes and businesses along the river in Welch are flooded.
  • 19 ftFlooding of homes near bridge next to gage. Tug Road, Slick Rock Road, and Wilson Street in Hemphill area are flooded.
  • 18 ftWilson Street and Slick Rock Road begin to flood in the Hemphill area.
  • 17 ftChurch parking lot in Hemphill begins to flood. Route 16 dip between Hemphill and Welch starts to flood.

Highest crests on record

  1. 22.1 ft — February 16, 2025
  2. 22.1 ft — May 2, 2002
  3. 19.77 ft — July 8, 2001
  4. 15.17 ft — November 19, 2003
  5. 13.41 ft — May 16, 1996

Recent crests: 22.1 ft (February 16, 2025) · 12.92 ft (February 6, 2020) · 10.86 ft (January 31, 2013) · 10.17 ft (April 14, 2004) · 15.17 ft (November 19, 2003)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (WLCW2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.