Conodoguinet Creek near Hogestown, PA
River level and flood forecast · Cumberland County
The river is 2.9 ft below flood stage (8 ft).
Forecast to rise to 5.6 ft Mon 8 PM, below the 8 ft flood stage.
Flow: 2,510 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 2:51 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 12 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 10 ft |
| Flood stage | 8 ft |
| Action stage | 6 ft |
| Record crest (June 23, 1972) | 17.01 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 18.5 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 0.2% Annual Chance Flood level (500-year flood). Flood waters are expected to reach the bottom of the Sample Bridge Road Bridge near the river gage.
- 16 ftMost homes near the creek are affected by flooding. Most secondary roads across the creek will be closed due to high water.
- 15.6 ftMaximum recordable gage height (stage sensor operational limit). Water levels above this stage are not reported in real time.
- 15.5 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 1% Annual Chance Flood level (100-year flood).
- 14.5 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 2% Annual Chance Flood level (50-year flood).
- 14 ftHomes along the entire length of the creek are affected by high water.
- 12.2 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood level (10-year flood).
- 12 ftNumerous homes are affected by high water all along the creek. The approaches to the bridges on Erb's Bridge Road, Sample Bridge Road, and Oyster Mill Road are inundated.
- 10 ftSome residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge Road, Prowell Drive, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.
- 8 ftLow lying areas in the vicinity of Erbs Bridge Road, Prowell Drive, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.
Highest crests on record
- 17.01 ft — June 23, 1972
- 12.56 ft — September 26, 1975
- 12.5 ft — February 15, 1984
- 12.16 ft — March 12, 1952
- 11.35 ft — September 19, 2004
Recent crests: 8.73 ft (May 16, 2025) · 9.22 ft (April 4, 2024) · 8.79 ft (January 11, 2024) · 8.91 ft (May 8, 2022) · 8.51 ft (September 3, 2021)
Up and down the river, and nearby
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (HGSP1); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.