Goose Creek near Leesburg, VA
River level and flood forecast · Loudoun County
Normal3.1 ftas of Mon 4:45 PM
The river is 8.9 ft below flood stage (12 ft).
Forecast to fall to 2.0 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.
Flow: 942 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 3 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 18 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 15 ft |
| Flood stage | 12 ft |
| Action stage | 10 ft |
| Record crest (June 22, 1972) | 30.59 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 23 ftHighway 15, Evergreen Mills Road, and Lime Kiln Road are all flooded. Tributary flooding strands residents near Oatlands Mill.
- 20 ftHighway 15 is flooded south of Leesburg.
- 18 ftWater threatens several homes south of Leesburg. Highway 15 will likely have to be closed.
- 16 ftWater reaches Highway 15 near the intersection with Oatlands Mill Road.
- 15 ftWater approaches a home near Highway 15 south of Leesburg.
- 14 ftWater approaches low spots along State Route 733, Lime Kiln Road. Water is in the backyards of homes near Highway 15, and reaches the underside of two low bridges over the creek at Crooked Bridge Lane.
- 13 ftWater reaches backyards near Highway 15 south of Leesburg. A low spot on State Route 650, Oatlands Road, is flooded.
- 12 ftThe creek overflows its banks near Oatlands, south of Leesburg. Backwater flooding begins to affect a low spot on State Route 650, Oatlands Road.
- 11 ftThe creek reaches bankfull. Some minor overbank flooding is occurring between Middleburg and Oatlands.
- 10 ftWater begins to overflow the banks near Evergreen Mill into nearby fields.
Highest crests on record
- 30.59 ft — June 22, 1972
- 29 ft — June 1, 1889
- 26.86 ft — August 26, 1937
- 25.74 ft — October 9, 1976
- 23.32 ft — September 23, 2003
Recent crests: 12.62 ft (January 10, 2024) · 12.29 ft (December 23, 2022) · 14.17 ft (March 22, 2019) · 14.75 ft (December 16, 2018) · 12.6 ft (September 28, 2018)
Up and down the river, and nearby
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (LEEV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.