North Fork Goose Creek near Lincoln, VA

River level and flood forecast · Loudoun County

Normal2.3 ftas of Mon 3:15 PM

The river is 7.7 ft below flood stage (10 ft).

Flow: 41 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

051015TueWedThuFriSatSunMonAction 8 ftFlood 10 ftModerate 13 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Sun, Dec 31, 7 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage18 ft
Moderate flood stage13 ft
Flood stage10 ft
Action stage8 ft
Record crest (September 23, 2003)13.45 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 18 ftWater covers the bridge over the creek at Shelburne Glebe Road.
  • 13 ftWater overflows into the low spots of Shelburne Glebe Road.
  • 11 ftWater overflows the banks upstream of the gauge.
  • 10 ftWater overflows the banks downstream of the gauge.

Highest crests on record

  1. 13.45 ft — September 23, 2003
  2. 12.8 ft — September 28, 2004
  3. 11.62 ft — July 8, 2005
  4. 11.53 ft — October 30, 2012
  5. 11.24 ft — May 16, 2014

Recent crests: 10.05 ft (December 23, 2022) · 9.76 ft (March 21, 2019) · 10.89 ft (September 28, 2018) · 8.78 ft (July 29, 2017) · 8.53 ft (February 24, 2016)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (NFGV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.