Hogue Creek near Hayfield, VA
River level and flood forecast · Frederick County
Normal0.9 ftas of Mon 4:30 PM
The river is 7.1 ft below flood stage (8 ft).
Flow: 23 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Sun, Dec 31, 7 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 12 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 10 ft |
| Flood stage | 8 ft |
| Action stage | 4 ft |
| Record crest (September 6, 1996) | 9.71 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 12 ftNearly two feet of water covers a portion of Route 614 near the creek. Significant flooding of fields and yards is occurring.
- 10 ftWater approaches Route 614 near the creek.
- 8 ftFields and yards near the creek are flooded. Access to some residences may be restricted by high water.
- 6 ftWater begins to overflow the banks but there is no impact.
- 4 ftThe low water bridge on Indian Hollow Road floods.
Highest crests on record
- 9.71 ft — September 6, 1996
- 8.85 ft — June 22, 1972
- 8.55 ft — August 6, 1978
- 8.39 ft — June 3, 2018
- 8.38 ft — May 14, 2025
Recent crests: 8.38 ft (May 14, 2025) · 4.63 ft (December 16, 2018) · 8.39 ft (June 3, 2018) · 4.53 ft (May 5, 2017) · 7.23 ft (May 16, 2014)
Up and down the river, and nearby
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (HFDV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.