North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg, VA

River level and flood forecast · Warren County

Normal6.4 ftas of Mon 3:30 PM

The river is 10.6 ft below flood stage (17 ft).

Forecast to fall to 3.3 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.

Flow: 3,800 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

-50510152025TueThuSatMonWedAction 10 ftFlood 17 ftModerate 20 ftMajor 25 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 3 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage25 ft
Moderate flood stage20 ft
Flood stage17 ft
Action stage10 ft
Record crest (September 7, 1996)32.27 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 25 ftFloodwaters reach the track and tennis courts at Strasburg High School.
  • 20 ftSeveral roads are flooded near the river, especially south of Strasburg. Downstream, water begins to inundate the North Fork Campground. Campers and trailers will need to seek higher ground.
  • 17 ftSignificant flooding of fields is occurring. The Strasburg River Walk is flooded.
  • 13 ftAgricultural flooding occurs near the river. Several low spots of Deer Rapids Road are flooded.
  • 10 ftLivestock fields east of Strasburg begin to flood. The livestock should be moved to higher ground. Water approaches Deer Rapids Road south of Strasburg.
  • 7 ftSeveral low water bridges over the North Fork of the Shenandoah River are covered by water. This will cut off access to homes and businesses. Residents should never attempt to drive across water-covered low water bridges!

Highest crests on record

  1. 32.27 ft — September 7, 1996
  2. 31.2 ft — October 16, 1942
  3. 30.21 ft — March 18, 1936
  4. 27.96 ft — January 20, 1996
  5. 27.37 ft — November 5, 1985

Recent crests: 17.77 ft (June 23, 2018) · 18.13 ft (June 4, 2018) · 15.63 ft (October 30, 2012) · 19.07 ft (May 18, 2011) · 18.33 ft (April 17, 2011)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (STGV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.