South Fork Shenandoah River near Lynnwood, VA
River level and flood forecast · Rockingham County
The river is 12.3 ft below flood stage (16 ft).
Forecast to fall to 2.9 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.
Flow: 1,170 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 3 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 20 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 17 ft |
| Flood stage | 16 ft |
| Action stage | 14 ft |
| Record crest (September 7, 1996) | 30.84 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 25 ftWater reaches homes in Elkton off Old Spottswood Trail. Water also approaches the Island Ford Road bridge near Berrytown. Numerous other structures and roads are inundated by this major flood.
- 22 ftNumerous homes are flooded between Lynnwood and Elkton, including in Berrytown. Numerous roads along and crossing the river are also flooded. Water is also approaching railroad tracks south of Elkton.
- 20 ftSeveral homes and other buildings between Lynnwood and Elkton are flooded. Significant agricultural flooding is occurring on both sides of the river.
- 17 ftFarmland on both banks of the river begin to flood between Lynnwood and Port Republic. Water covers Flank Circle in Lynnwood and approaches homes in that area. Portions of Power Dam Road and Captain Yancey Road between Lynnwood and Berrytown are also flooded.
- 16 ftLowlands near the river, and low spots of Power Dam Road, begin to flood.
- 14 ftWater begins to overflow the banks but little impact is observed.
Highest crests on record
- 30.84 ft — September 7, 1996
- 29.46 ft — November 5, 1985
- 27.2 ft — October 15, 1942
- 26.57 ft — March 18, 1936
- 24.88 ft — January 19, 1996
Recent crests: 16.71 ft (September 30, 2024) · 20.23 ft (September 18, 2018) · 19.93 ft (April 17, 2011) · 19.09 ft (January 25, 2010) · 17.81 ft (November 30, 2005)
Up and down the river, and nearby
- UpstreamSouth River at Harriston, VA
- DownstreamSouth Fork Shenandoah River at Luray, VA
- Middle River near Grottoes, VA
- North River near Burketown, VA
- Muddy Creek at Mount Clinton, VA
- South River near Dooms, VA
- Linville Creek at Broadway, VA
- South River at Waynesboro near Lyndhurst Road, VA
- North Fork Shenandoah River at Cootes Store, VA
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (LYWV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.