South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray, VA
River level and flood forecast · Page County
Normal4.1 ftas of Mon 3:45 PM
The river is 9.9 ft below flood stage (14 ft).
Forecast to fall to 2.5 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 2 PM.
Flow: 2,080 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 3 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 25 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 20 ft |
| Flood stage | 14 ft |
| Action stage | 13 ft |
| Record crest (September 7, 1996) | 26.95 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 25 ftNumerous homes, buildings, and roads are flooded along the river west and southwest of Luray, along with many acres of farmland.
- 20 ftWater approaches homes and buildings south of Luray. Backyards of homes at the lower end of Egypt Bend Estates are flooded, and much of Ganders Drive and Kaufmann Mill Road are flooded.
- 17 ftWater covers the entire parking area at the Bixlers Ferry boat launch.
- 16 ftPortions of Kaufmann Mill Road, Ganders Drive, and Egypt Bend Road begin to flood.
- 14 ftWater covers yards and fields near the river southwest of Luray.
- 13 ftWater reaches the top of the boat ramp under the Route 211 bridge.
- 11 ftWater reaches the top of the boat ramp at Bixlers Ferry.
Highest crests on record
- 26.95 ft — September 7, 1996
- 26.72 ft — November 5, 1985
- 25.7 ft — October 16, 1942
- 25.4 ft — October 1, 1896
- 22.5 ft — May 1, 1924
Recent crests: 15.41 ft (October 1, 2024) · 13.37 ft (December 21, 2018) · 14.53 ft (September 29, 2018) · 17.63 ft (September 18, 2018) · 15.2 ft (June 3, 2018)
Up and down the river, and nearby
- UpstreamSouth Fork Shenandoah River near Lynnwood, VA
- DownstreamSouth Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal, VA
- Smith Creek near New Market, VA
- North Fork Shenandoah River near Mount Jackson, VA
- Linville Creek at Broadway, VA
- North Fork Shenandoah River at Cootes Store, VA
- Battle Run near Laurel Mills, VA
- North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg, VA
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (SFSV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.