Carbon River near Fairfax, WA

River level and flood forecast · Pierce County

Normal5.5 ftas of Mon 8 PM

The river is 8.0 ft below flood stage (13.5 ft).

Forecast to hold near 5.5 ft through Mon, Oct 19, 5 PM.

Flow: 50 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

2.557.51012.51517.5TueThuSatMonWedFriSunAction 11.6 ftFlood 13.5 ftModerate 14.5 ftMajor 15 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 8:51 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

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Flood stages

Major flood stage15 ft
Moderate flood stage14.5 ft
Flood stage13.5 ft
Action stage11.6 ft
Record crest (November 6, 2006)16.93 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 15 ftthe Carbon River will cause major flooding. Swift and deep flood waters will inundate roads...including Carbon River Rd...Pioneer Way...and SR 162...and residential areas near Crocker and Orting. Flooding will occur all along the river including headwaters...tributaries...and other streams within and near the Carbon River Basin.
  • 13.5 ftthe Carbon River will flood the residential areas near Crocker and sections of the Carbon River Rd
  • 12 ftthe Carbon River will locally spill out of its banks into nearby fields and over the Carbon River Rd...including inside Rainier National Park

Highest crests on record

  1. 16.93 ft — November 6, 2006
  2. 16.15 ft — December 9, 2025
  3. 15.85 ft — February 8, 1996
  4. 15.82 ft — November 12, 2008
  5. 15.75 ft — January 7, 2009

Recent crests: 14.65 ft (December 10, 2025) · 16.15 ft (December 9, 2025) · 14.51 ft (November 4, 2022) · 13.59 ft (October 22, 2017) · 14.84 ft (December 9, 2015)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (FFXW1); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.