Talkeetna River near Talkeetna, AK

River level and flood forecast · Matanuska-Susitna County

Normal4.6 ftas of Tue 2:45 AM

The river is 7.9 ft below flood stage (12.5 ft).

Forecast to fall to 4.2 ft by Thu, Oct 15, 6 AM.

Flow: 4,100 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

05101520WedThuFriSatSunMonTueWedThuAction 10.5 ftFlood 12.5 ftModerate 15 ftMajor 17 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 8:31 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

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Flood stages

Major flood stage17 ft
Moderate flood stage15 ft
Flood stage12.5 ft
Action stage10.5 ft
Record crest (October 11, 1986)17.38 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 15.3 ftApproximate 4% of flood according to FEMA's modeled Flood Insurance Study
  • 14 ftWater can flow into Beaver Road and F Street in NE Talkeetna.
  • 13.5 ftApproximate 10% annual chance of flooding according to FEMA's modeled Flood Insurance Study
  • 10 ftHigh water during the summer floods of 2003; water flowed into the low lying areas near the end of the dike at the mouth of the Talkeetna River.

Highest crests on record

  1. 17.38 ft — October 11, 1986
  2. 17.16 ft — September 21, 2012
  3. 16.35 ft — August 10, 1971
  4. 15.75 ft — July 20, 1967
  5. 15.38 ft — August 19, 2006

Recent crests: 8.79 ft (May 31, 2020) · 7.72 ft (July 24, 2019) · 10.3 ft (August 6, 2018) · 9.89 ft (July 9, 2017) · 8.6 ft (September 13, 2016)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (TRTA2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.