San Joaquin River at Vernalis, CA

River level and flood forecast · San Joaquin County

Normal8.5 ftas of Mon 7:45 PM

The river is 20.5 ft below flood stage (29 ft).

Forecast to rise to 9.1 ft Sat 5 AM, below the 29 ft flood stage.

Flow: 1,320 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

010203040TueThuSatMonWedFriAction 24.5 ftFlood 29 ftModerate 32 ftMajor 37.3 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 7:45 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

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Flood stages

Major flood stage37.3 ft
Moderate flood stage32 ft
Flood stage29 ft
Action stage24.5 ft
Record crest (January 5, 1997)34.88 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 37.29 ftStages above 37.3 feet results in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
  • 29.6 ftHomes along east bank of river on Airport Court in Manteca experience flooding.
  • 26 ftSevere seepage occurs outside the levees. The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
  • 24.5 ftMonitor Stage - water reaches the toe of levee.
  • 21 ftSeepage begins into crop area outside of levees.

Highest crests on record

  1. 34.88 ft — January 5, 1997
  2. 32.81 ft — December 9, 1950
  3. 30.72 ft — February 23, 2017
  4. 29.83 ft — March 19, 2023
  5. 29.8 ft — March 18, 1986

Recent crests: 16.01 ft (February 21, 2026) · 13.03 ft (March 20, 2025) · 18.12 ft (March 6, 2024) · 29.83 ft (March 19, 2023) · 25.7 ft (January 18, 2023)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (VNSC1); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.