Santa Margarita River at Ysidora, CA

River level and flood forecast · San Diego County

Normal7.6 ftas of Mon 8:15 PM

The river is 4.9 ft below flood stage (12.5 ft).

Forecast to rise to 7.8 ft Tue 1 AM, below the 12.5 ft flood stage.

Flow: 26 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

46810121416TueThuSatMonWedFriAction 10.85 ftFlood 12.5 ftModerate 13.78 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 7:56 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

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Flood stages

Major flood stage16.29 ft
Moderate flood stage13.78 ft
Flood stage12.5 ft
Action stage10.85 ft
Record crest (February 14, 2019)15.07 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 16.29 ftMajor flood, 37,000 cfs. Widespread inundation of Camp Pendleton with evacuations likely. Flood of Record Jan 16, 1993.
  • 13.78 ftModerate flood stage, 17,000 cfs. Vandegrift Road is flooded for several miles downstream of the gage site. Stuart Mesa Road is flooded near the bridge.
  • 12.5 ftMinor flood stage, 8,000 cfs. Vandegrift Road has begun to flood downstream of the gage. Stuart Mesa Road closures can be expected.
  • 10.85 ft2,500 cfs. The river has reached monitor stage. Personnel begin regular patrols along the levee.

Highest crests on record

  1. 15.07 ft — February 14, 2019
  2. 14.6 ft — January 22, 2017
  3. 14.05 ft — January 23, 1943
  4. 12.7 ft — March 3, 1938
  5. 12.68 ft — January 10, 1995

Recent crests: 11.73 ft (January 16, 2023) · 15.07 ft (February 14, 2019) · 14.6 ft (January 22, 2017) · 12.41 ft (February 23, 1998) · 12.68 ft (January 10, 1995)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (YDRC1); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.