Black Creek at Middleburg, FL

The last 7 days and the forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Jan 1, 12 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

• 30.5 ftHistoric Flooding along the North Fork Black Creek Basin. The approaches to the Blanding Blvd Bridge on the north side of the North Fork begin to flood. Widespread inundation of numerous sides on both banks of the creek expands with many homes uninhabitable or destroyed.
• 23.5 ftCatastrophic flooding continues throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. On the north bank of the North Fork, homes not elevated are rendered uninhabitable on Lazy Acres Trail. Water reaches Falcon Run Lane and Country Meadows Drive, surrounding residences in the area. On the south bank of the North Fork, Banks Road and Laurel Drive are impassable. Homes not elevated along the creek experience extensive inundation. Elevated structures along both banks of the creek begin flooding inside.
• 19 ftConsiderable flooding throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. Water Expands on the north bank of the North Fork beyond Trefoil Trail, impacting homes on the American Way. Lazy Acres Trail is impassable in many locations with numerous structures floodedwith several feet of water inside. On the south bank of the North Fork, flooding expands along Scenic Drive and homes along the creek. Scenic Drive is impassable in several places. Downstream of Blanding Blvd Bridge, flooding continues to worsen.
• 17.51 ftDownstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge flooding worsens along Lee Drive North and Lee Drive South. Flooding expands onto Cornell and Main Street.
• 17.5 ftSignificant flooding throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. Flooding worsens considerably on the north bank of the North Fork along Lazy Acres Road, with numerous residences flooded, some with more than 2 feet of water inside. Access into some of these areas by Lazy Acres Road becomes impossible. On the south bank of the North Fork, Scenic Drive near Wisteria becomes impassable. Numerous residences in this area flood, with up to 2 feet of water inside.
• 16.5 ftSome homes on Hawk Haven Drive are isolated by flood waters. Flooding expands along the north bank of the North Fork along Lazy Acres Road, with water entering numerous residences. On the south bank of the North Fork, flooding expands impacting properties along Scenic Drive east of Wisteria Lane. Downstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge, water moves under severeal structures on North and South Lee near the creek.
• 15.5 ftWater begins to enter backyards of residential properties along Hawk Haven Road and Lazy Acres Road and Redbug Alley on the north bank of the North Fork. Flooding begins at Enchanted Lane on the south bank of the North Fork. Flooding begins further downstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge along North and South Lee. Flooding begins on areas of the south bank of the North Fork, particularly at Scenic Drive and Enchanted Lane.
• 15 ftWater begins to enter backyards of residential properties along Hawk Haven Road and Lazy Acres Road and Redbug Alley on the north bank of the North Fork. Flooding begins at Enchanted Lane on the south bank of the North Fork.

Highest crests on record

1. 30.52 ft — September 12, 2017
2. 24.1 ft — June 27, 2012
3. 22.37 ft — October 4, 1992
4. 20.08 ft — October 8, 1996
5. 19.56 ft — August 23, 2008

Recent crests: 14.88 ft (October 12, 2025) · 15 ft (October 12, 2025) · 15.12 ft (October 11, 2025) · 15 ft (October 11, 2025) · 15.05 ft (October 10, 2025)

Up and down the river, and nearby

• UpstreamNorth Fork Black Creek near Middleburg, FL
• South Fork Black Creek near Penney Farms, FL
• Ortega River at Argyle Forest Boulevard, FL
• St. Johns River at Shands Bridge, FL
• Cedar River at San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL
• Julington Creek at Old Saint Augustine Road, FL
• St. Johns River at Jacksonville, FL
• Pottsburg Creek at Beach Boulevard (US 90), FL