North Fork Black Creek near Middleburg, FL

The last 7 days and the forecast

NWS forecast issued Sat, Oct 10, 9:39 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

• 28 ftHistoric flooding throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. The approaches to the Blanding Blvd Bridge on the north side of North Fork begin to flood. Widespread inundation of numerous sides of both banks of the creek expands with many homes uninhabitable or destroyed.
• 25 ftCatastrophic flooding continues throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. On the north bank of the North Fork, homes not elevated are rendered uninhabitable on Lazy Acres Trail. Water reaches Falcon Run Lane and Country Meadows Drive, surrounding residences in the area. On the south bank of the North Fork, Banks Road and Laurel Drive and impassable. Homes not elevated along the creek experience extensive inundation. Elevated structures along both banks of the creek begin to flood.
• 22 ftConsiderable flooding throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. Water Expands on the north bank of the North Fork beyond Trefoil Trail, impacting homes on American Way. Lazy Acres Trail is impassable in many locations with numerous structures flooded with several feet of water inside. On the south bank of the North Fork, flooding expands along Scenic Drive and homes along the creek. Scenic Drive is impassable in several places. Downstream of Blanding Blvd Bridge, flooding continues to worsen.
• 20.01 ftDownstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge flooding worsens along North and South Lee. Flooding expands onto Cornell and Main Street.
• 20 ftSignificant flooding throughout the North Fork Black Creek Basin. Flooding worsens considerably on the north bank of the North Fork along Lazy Acres Road, with numerous residences flooded, some with more than 2 feet of water inside. Access into some of these areas byLazy Acres Road becomes impossible. On the south bank of the North Fork, Scenic Drive near Wisteria becomes impassable. Numerous residences in this area flood, with up to 2 feet of water inside.
• 18 ftSome homes on Hawk Haven Drive are isolated by flood waters. Flooding expands along the north bank of the North Fork along Lazy Acres Road, with water entering numerous residences. On the south bank of the North Fork, flooding expands impacting properties along Scenic Drive east of Wisteria Lane. Downstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge, water moves under several structures on North and South Lee near the creek.
• 16 ftFlooding expands into the yards of more properties along Lazy Acres Road on the north bank of the North Fork. Flooding begins further downstream of the Blanding Blvd Bridge along North and South Lee. Flooding begins on areas of the south bank of the North Fork, particularly at Scenic Drive and Enchanted Lane.
• 15 ftWater begins to enter backyards of residential properties along Hawk Haven Road and Lazy Acres Road and Redbug Alley on the north bank of the North Fork. Flooding begins at Enchanted Lane on the south bank of the North Fork.
• 13 ftWater begins to flood wooded areas along portions of North Fork Black Creek downstream from the gage to near Blanding Blvd.

Highest crests on record

1. 27.89 ft — September 11, 2017
2. 25.3 ft — June 1, 1919
3. 25.26 ft — June 27, 2012
4. 24.69 ft — October 4, 1992
5. 23.91 ft — May 3, 1964

Recent crests: 20.21 ft (August 6, 2024) · 18.24 ft (December 18, 2023) · 17.18 ft (July 8, 2021) · 17.86 ft (June 13, 2020) · 17.35 ft (June 8, 2020)

Up and down the river, and nearby

• DownstreamBlack Creek at Middleburg, FL
• South Fork Black Creek near Penney Farms, FL
• Ortega River at Argyle Forest Boulevard, FL
• Cedar River at San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL
• St. Johns River at Shands Bridge, FL
• St. Marys River near Macclenny, FL
• St. Johns River at Jacksonville, FL
• Julington Creek at Old Saint Augustine Road, FL