Nolichucky River at Embreeville, TN

The last 7 days and the forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 9:22 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

• 33.88 ftFlood of record from the 2024 Helene event, as established by high water marks.
• 24 ftPrevious Flood of Record from 1901.
• 21.5 ftA Bumpus Cove Road resident reported that the 1977 flood was said to have gotten into the house she lives in, which sits on a concrete slab, while it did not get into the house next door, which sits two feet higher atop a crawl space. This is a source of uncertainty of impacts at this location and its relation to gauge measurements downstream near the bridge and any effects of damming the bridge may cause near the gauge. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
• 18 ftWater might threaten the lowest of a row of riverside homes along Bumpus Cove Road a half mile upstream from the bridge. Flows this high contain increasing uncertainty as to how the gauge readings downstream near the bridge are reflective of stream heights and impacts along Bumpus Cove Road. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
• 17 ftLow spots along Hwy 107 between Embreeville and Erwin might flood.
• 16 ftWater reaches the pad of the train car at KOA Campground. This campground was destructively impacted by Helene flooding; perhaps it will be restored.
• 14 ftBack yards of riverside homes along Bumpus Cove Road take substantial water. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
• 13 ftPortions of AJ Willis Road will flood.
• 12 ftPasture land around the Highway 107 bridge floods. The channel narrows at the bridge just downstream of the gauge, which may elevate the river level at the gauge during higher flows due to damming effect.
• 11.5 ftProperty at Bumpus Cove Road and Little Germany Road floods. Much of the Bumpus Cove area was destroyed by Helene flooding; some structures may gradually be rebuilt.
• 11 ftThe main camping level of the KOA campground is covered by water. This campground was destructively impacted by Helene flooding; perhaps it will be restored.
• 9.5 ftLow spots along Little Germany Road will begin to flood.
• 8.5 ftKOA campground impacts increase as water flows through portions a little further in. A narrowing of the channel just downstream from the campground might elevate stream height in the campground during higher flows due to a damming effect.
• 6.5 ftKOA campground begins to take precautions with sites closest to river.

Highest crests on record

1. 33.88 ft — September 27, 2024
2. 24 ft — May 21, 1901
3. 21.52 ft — November 6, 1977
4. 18.57 ft — August 13, 1940
5. 15.55 ft — September 17, 2004

Recent crests: 33.88 ft (September 27, 2024) · 8.74 ft (January 9, 2024) · 11.48 ft (August 18, 2021) · 10.02 ft (April 13, 2020) · 11.62 ft (April 19, 2019)

Up and down the river, and nearby

• UpstreamS Toe River below Whiteoak Ck, 2 SSE Celo, NC
• Big Limestone Creek near Limestone, TN
• Doe River at Elizabethton, TN
• French Broad River above Silver Mine Ck, in Hot Springs, NC
• French Broad River above Rollins Rd, 1 SE Marshall, NC
• Ivy River near Marshall, NC
• North Fork Holston River near Gate City, VA
• Big Creek near Rogersville, TN