South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal, VA

River level and flood forecast · Warren County

Normal1.6 ftas of Mon 3:15 PM

The river is 10.4 ft below flood stage (12 ft).

Forecast to rise to 2.5 ft Tue 8 AM, below the 12 ft flood stage.

Flow: 880 cubic feet per second (USGS).

The last 7 days and the forecast

-505101520TueThuSatMonWedAction 8 ftFlood 12 ftModerate 14 ftMajor 18 ftNowObserved (ft)NWS forecast

NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 3 PM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.

Flood stages

Major flood stage18 ft
Moderate flood stage14 ft
Flood stage12 ft
Action stage8 ft
Record crest (October 16, 1942)34.8 ft

What floods at each level

From the National Weather Service, highest first.

  • 24 ftCatlett Mountain Road begins to flood.
  • 22 ftWater approaches structures on Rivermont Acres Drive.
  • 20 ftBackwater from the river reaches South River Road. Floodwaters cover the Indian Hollow Road bridge.
  • 18 ftSignificant portions of the railroad tracks running along the southwest side of Front Royal are flooded.
  • 17 ftBackwater from the river reaches Rivermont Acres Drive. Water also approaches the Shenandoah Farms subdivision and covers a walking trail near the Front Royal boat ramp.
  • 16 ftFloodwaters approach lower portions of Shenandoah Shores Estates.
  • 14 ftRailroad tracks along the river south of Front Royal begin to flood. Water approaches structures in Riverton.
  • 12 ftBackwater begins to creep up Luray Avenue toward the railroad trestle. A riverside parking area at the end of Luray Avenue is flooded.
  • 10 ftHay fields near the gauge begin to flood.
  • 8 ftA boat ramp near the end of Luray Avenue south of Front Royal floods. A second boat ramp near Bentonville also floods.

Highest crests on record

  1. 34.8 ft — October 16, 1942
  2. 32.57 ft — September 7, 1996
  3. 32.43 ft — November 6, 1985
  4. 26.01 ft — March 18, 1936
  5. 25.2 ft — January 20, 1996

Recent crests: 12.4 ft (October 1, 2024) · 8.06 ft (March 2, 2021) · 14.34 ft (September 19, 2018) · 16.52 ft (June 4, 2018) · 12.07 ft (May 17, 2014)

Up and down the river, and nearby

Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (FROV2); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.