Buffalo Creek at Gardenville, NY
River level and flood forecast · Erie County
Normal0.5 ftas of Mon 4:15 PM
The river is 6.5 ft below flood stage (7 ft).
Forecast to hold near 0.5 ft through Thu, Oct 15, 8 AM.
Flow: 16 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 11:14 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 9 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 8 ft |
| Flood stage | 7 ft |
| Action stage | 6 ft |
| Record crest (March 21, 1978) | 14.34 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 9 ftMajor flood, widespread flooding along low lying areas near Buffalo Creek. Most affected areas include Elma Village north of Bowen Road bridge, Blossom Road, Transit Road, and houses in back of 14 Holy Helpers Church near Union Road.
- 8 ftModerate flood, flooding is likely along low lying areas near the Buffalo Creek, especially near Collins Avenue, Elma Town Park, and in some sections of Elma Village north of the Bowen Road bridge.
- 7 ftFlood stage, minor flooding is possible along the low lying areas next to Buffalo Creek, especially in the farm fields downstream from Union Road.
- 6 ftAction stage, high flows. No flooding.
Highest crests on record
- 14.34 ft — March 21, 1978
- 14.2 ft — March 5, 1979
- 12.3 ft — February 21, 1996
- 10.2 ft — June 1, 1937
- 9.42 ft — March 7, 1956
Recent crests: 7.77 ft (April 1, 2026) · 7.26 ft (February 18, 2022) · 7.12 ft (November 24, 2014) · 7.78 ft (December 22, 2013) · 7.12 ft (October 30, 2012)
Up and down the river, and nearby
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (GDVN6); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.