Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer, NY
River level and flood forecast · Erie County
Normal2.3 ftas of Mon 4 PM
The river is 7.7 ft below flood stage (10 ft).
Forecast to hold near 2.3 ft through Thu, Oct 15, 8 AM.
Flow: 15 cubic feet per second (USGS).
The last 7 days and the forecast
NWS forecast issued Mon, Oct 12, 11:14 AM. Forecasts change as rain falls and as upstream water arrives.
Flood stages
| Major flood stage | 14 ft |
| Moderate flood stage | 12 ft |
| Flood stage | 10 ft |
| Action stage | 8 ft |
| Record crest (March 1, 1955) | 15.82 ft |
What floods at each level
From the National Weather Service, highest first.
- 14 ftMajor flood, widespread flooding in Cazenovia Park, Southgate Plaza, Mill Road and Seneca Streets in West Seneca, Parkside Drive, Willowdale Road, and Orchard Park Rd. May impact homes and commercial properties. Level near top of controls in South Buffalo downstream from Cazenovia Park. Localized flooding upstream in East Aurora.
- 12 ftModerate flood, localized flooding possible in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West Seneca.
- 10 ftFlood stage, minor flooding can be expected in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of Ridge Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in South Buffalo.
- 8 ftAction stage, high flows. No flooding.
Highest crests on record
- 15.82 ft — March 1, 1955
- 15.11 ft — March 17, 1942
- 14.85 ft — September 9, 2004
- 14.65 ft — March 7, 1956
- 14.15 ft — August 10, 2009
Recent crests: 10.2 ft (April 1, 2026) · 10.21 ft (February 18, 2022) · 12.29 ft (November 7, 2017) · 10.94 ft (November 24, 2014) · 12.25 ft (December 22, 2013)
Up and down the river, and nearby
Not an official source. River levels, forecasts, flood stages and impacts are from the National Weather Service (EBZN6); flow from the U.S. Geological Survey. Readings are provisional. In a flood, follow your local officials and the NWS at weather.gov.